Dr George Carlo has released the following comments as his reaction
to the Essex EHS study in absence of the results findings:
'The following comments relate to the interpretation of the results of the Essex study.
1. Based on what we have learned from our clinical experiences and the symptoms
reported by patients in our registry, a key to the integrity of the
Essex study is in how a 'sensitive' person was defined at the outset. We
believe that the pathology of these sensitivities is cell membrane based,
but that the same pathology is present in conditions including multiple
chemical sensitivities, alcoholism, drug addiction, and neuro-behavioral
syndromes like ADHD and Autism. In addition, there appears to be a familial
predisposition component that involves inability to clear metals from the
system through methylation and an inability to adapt to oxidative stress.
Thus, the definition of patients selected in the Essex study is a key
point. And, in the analyses, it would be important to categorize the
patients on the severity scale in terms of these other conditions that have
similar underlying pathology. The point is that there is a continuum we are
seeing in terms of severity of effects, and the level of hypersensitivity to
the various types of EMR also scales along that continuum. Thus, without
either controlling for these other conditions statistically or through
subject category restriction, it is likely that associations that are
present would not be identified.....false negative findings because of
imprecision in the measurement of the dependent variables. That is one of
the main difficulty with the majority of provocation studies that have been
done. Measurement imprecision and bias toward the null.
2. The other key is that depending on the severity of the
hypersensitivity...and that in large part is related to the points raised
above....different EMR effect windows will have varying effects on the
persons being provoked with EMR. Thus, the EMR that is used in the exposure
scenario needs to be precisely defined as well. We know, for example, that
ELF operates through a field intensity dependent mechanism that exerts
direct magnetic effect on tissue (including disruption of gap-junction
intercellular communication) and thus the ensuing pathology. But there is a
threshold for ELF effects. RF has two different pathology mechanism
components: raw microwaves or RFR act through thermal mechanisms dependent
on field intensity -- there is a thermal effects threshold; microwaves that
carry information from wireless devices act through a biological mechanism
that is triggered as a protective cellular response -- for this response,
there is no threshold. Thus, in the Essex study, the provocation exposures
would have needed to be defined along these effect windows, otherwise there
is a likely bias also toward false negative findings because of the lack of
precison in the measurement of the independent variables. For example, from
what they define, the question of base station 'on or off' is key. For the
effect windows of ELF and raw microwaves, 'on or off' would have an effect
if there was adequate field intensity to provoke the mechanistic pathways --
in other words to go above the threshold. However, for the information
carrying radio waves, there would have to be talking on the signal or there
would be no biological protective pathway triggered. It is the modulation
associated with the carried information that we now know triggers the
non-thermal effect pathways. So, without talking on the signal,
the biological pathway would not be triggered. The result in the study
would be a false-negative finding.
3. Overall, the electrohypersensitivity response is dependent then on the
severity of the patients cellular pathology -- and that from all sources
including the conditions detailed in Number 1 above. The observed response
is also dependent on the mechanism that the EMR exposure provocation likely
will act through. At this point, we don't believe that a precise enough
definition of the conditions in the patients recruited to allow for proper
controlling. We don't believe that the exposure provocations were defined
well enough in terms of EMR effect windows and the likely pathological
pathways triggered by the provocations.
Because of the imprecision in the measurements in the Essex study, any
findings showing 'no effect' are likely false negative or the result of the
study not being able to pick up the real underlying pathology. Any finding
showing an 'effect' is likely an underestimation of the actual effect
because the study is biased toward the null or 'no effect' finding.'
__________________
Dr. George L. Carlo
Science and Public Policy Institute
1101 Pennsylvania Ave. NW -- 7th Floor
Washington, D.C. 20004
www.sppionline.org
202-756-7744
~~~~~~~~~~~
Dr Grahame Blackwell, Independent
consultant on wireless telecoms health issues, has consistently advised
ES inquirers against participating in this study. He
says:
(1) Almost every genuine illness
attracts some who mistakenly believe they suffer from it, particularly the more
esoteric ailments with no outward signs. It's normal practice, in a
clinical study, to filter out those people before commencing the trials, since
they will seriously skew the results towards a negative outcome. I
see no signs of this having been done in the Essex study.
(2) On the contrary, one ES volunteer
for that study interviewed on the Richard & Judy Show stated that
he and his results were dropped from the trials precisely
because he HAD shown very clear adverse effects (including internal bleeding)
and was well able to distinguish between real and sham exposure
(see interview at http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Tq298Ir4rHw ).
While it's obviously not sensible to continue to expose someone who is suffering
in this way, this effectively amounts to a top-slicing (ditching) of the
most conclusive evidence from the trials. If this was the
response in cases of those showing a strong reaction then,
coupled with (1) above, this amounts to a negative loading that would render
this study totally meaningless.
(3) It's well known that a
ginger-haired fair-skinned person can't spend anything like as long in the sun
as most other people without suffering ill-effects. They are
sensitive to certain electromagnetic frequencies, if over-exposed to
those frequencies they become hypersensitive to them. It's a
complete mystery to me why some so-called scientists simply refuse to believe
that for other people this could apply to a different range of frequencies -
namely radio waves and microwaves (given that in both cases this effect
can be caused by non-ionising radiation).
(4) Continuing this analogy, if
anyone doubted that someone was particularly sensitive to sunlight, then to put
this to the test by subjecting that person to a regime of intermittent doses of
sunlight to see if it hurt would rightly be considered barbaric. The fact
that many electrosensitives are prepared to submit to such treatment in the
hope that their concerns will be taken seriously simply illustrates how
desperate they are - the alternative is equivalent to that fair-skinned person
having to spend their life in bright sunlight.
(5) Many electrosensitives will be
hypersensitised before they are aware of this condition in
themselves. Like the sunburnt fair-skinned person, to whom every touch
could be agony, those hypersensitives will have greatly heightened and possibly
erratic reactions. Put this with 'performance anxiety' of someone who's
being forced to prove their condition - and who knows this will involve bouts of
pain - and the likelihood of a meaningful trial is pretty well zero. This
is, rather, a throwback to the mediaeval 'trial by ordeal'.
On the terms of reference of the
study itself:
(6) The Essex University web
page describing this study states that it is investigating effects of both GSM
and UMTS base-station emissions. The signalling protocols for these two
technologies are radically different, producing dramatically different patterns
of radiation. There is no indication how both of these signalling
regimes are covered in this one study - leading to doubts that they actually
are.
(7) The same web page
states that the signals used were "within
the standard used by the mobile phone operators". Even just for GSM
a base station uses a variety of different signals, including: call setup;
handshaking with handset; voice traffic; handover between masts (for
a handset on the move); call tear-down. It's not known which of these
might affect an ES sufferer most. There's no indication in the Essex study
description that all of these various modes were tested, or how the test regime
might deal with such variety; the only logical conclusion is that these
'details' were not considered - but they could crucially affect the outcome of
this trial.
It's for these reasons that I've advised ES sufferers
against participating, and for these reasons that I consider the outcome of
this study as of little to no value. It's a great shame that a vast amount
of MTHR money was spent on this apparently pointless exercise when it could have
been spent on serious health research which could be safeguarding people's
lives.